The Market Timers

The Market Timers

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Occasional Musings from a Stock Market Timer
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These Excellent Newsletters will help keep you on the right side of the market

 
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Human Psychology Moves the Markets
Support/Resistance

Price Floors and Ceilings Play a Big Role
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Markets Trend and Do Not Walk Randomly
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These Mathematical Tools Help Spot Turning Points
Fib Ratios

The Golden Number
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The Most Important Tool to any Stock Trader or Investor

 
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Simple Longer Term Approach for the Average Investor
Elliott Wave International
Incredible Market Insight for the Market Timing Student or Serious Trader

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Fibonacci Ratios

Leonardo Pisano (1170-1250), also Known as Fibonacci, was a great Italian mathematician. A simple sequence of numbers bears his name. The Fibonacci sequence. An infinite progression where each successive number in the sequence is the sum of the two number preceding it.

Here it is: 0, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144 and so on. In this additive sequence the ratio of one number is 1.618 times the preceding number or 0.618 times the next number. This has long been known as the Golden Ratio and was used by the Egyptians in the construction of the pyramids. These fibonacci proportions are seen throughout nature. The spirals of sea shells, the horns of Bighorn Sheep, a spiral galaxy etc.

They are also an important tool for market timing with Elliot Wave Theory. The up and down movements in the markets exhibit these Fibonacci ratios, or commonly called Fib ratios. The size of one wave is very often in Fibonacci proportions to the preceding wave. There are three main Fib levels. These are 38.2%, 50%, and 61.8%. There are a few others but these are the most common.

The power of Fib at work. Corrective waves often retrace 38.25 or 50% or 61.8% of the impulse wave preceding it. In the chart below we see that the S&P 500 retraced 38.2% of the move from just below 1140 to 1245.

Another important use of the Fib sequence in market analysis is the function of time. We have found that the up and down waves of market prices tend to occur at time fib intervals. when viewed at a daily time scale, minor waves will often be at lengths of 3, 5, 8, 13, ... days. These minor waves can often be seen to add up to a fib number of days to create the larger waves that occur at 21, 34, 55, ... etc. day intervals. Note that this is not always exact (though it often is) but can be seen to occur within a day or 2 of a specific fib interval.

 

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TheMarketTimers.com provides introductory information to the techniques used for stock market timing. Trading stocks, currencies, or any security involves risk. The stock market timing techniques shown on this site can help control the risks involved in trading. Though these stock market timing and charting techniques are very helpful for some traders, they require experience and knowledge of market behavior that comes with practice. It is advised that traders use risk management and set loss limits on every trade.


 

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